Western diplomats welcome two-week breather to ‘explore what is possible’ on Iran’s nuclear program

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"European Diplomats See Opportunity for Diplomacy Amid Trump’s Military Decision Timeline on Iran"

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European diplomats have expressed cautious optimism regarding US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a two-week timeframe to decide on military action against Iran. This development is seen as an opportunity for renewed diplomatic engagement, potentially bringing Iran back to the negotiation table. Ahead of critical nuclear talks in Geneva, a Western European diplomat highlighted that the upcoming discussions would focus on exploring possible compromises concerning Iran’s contentious uranium enrichment program. While Iran insists its enrichment activities are intended for peaceful purposes, the Trump administration maintains that any agreement must entirely prohibit Iran from enriching nuclear material. This fundamental disagreement poses a significant challenge to the negotiations, as Iran has historically refused to relinquish its nuclear capabilities, investing heavily in the development of its enrichment technology and facilities, such as the secretive Fordow site located deep within a mountain.

The backdrop of the Geneva talks is further complicated by recent military actions, particularly Israeli airstrikes that have reportedly diminished Iran's nuclear capabilities. The Western diplomat noted that the increased military pressure on Iran could potentially alter its strategic calculations regarding nuclear negotiations. Despite the renewed diplomatic initiative, there are concerns that the talks may not yield significant results, particularly given the unpredictable nature of President Trump’s statements and actions. The diplomat expressed skepticism that the two-week window announced by Trump might simply be a strategic delay, allowing the US to prepare for potential military intervention while maintaining a façade of diplomacy. As the situation develops, the meeting between European foreign ministers and their Iranian counterpart is poised to play a pivotal role in determining the future of Iran’s nuclear program and the broader geopolitical landscape in the region, although uncertainty looms over the effectiveness of these diplomatic efforts.

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European negotiators are welcoming US President Donald Trump’s announcement that he will make a decision on US military action in Iran withintwo weeks, telling CNN it offers “breathing space” and “a diplomatic window” that could get Iran back to the negotiating table.

Speaking ahead of nuclear talks between top European and Iranian officials in Geneva, Switzerland, one Western European diplomat told CNN that “ideas” would be presented to Iran “to see if there is room for maneuver and to explore what is possible.”

The diplomat refused to be drawn on specifics but reiterated that the crux of the matter remained Iran’s controversial uranium enrichment program and that the talks would focus on “what kind of compromise would be feasible” on that issue.

But enrichment — which Iran says it needs for peaceful purposes, while also manufacturing large quantities of near-weapons-grade material — is a major sticking point, with the Trump administration vowing that any agreement with Iran would have to entirely prohibit the country from enriching any nuclear material.

For decades, Iran, which denies it intends to build a nuclear weapon, has categorically refused to give up its capabilities — instead plowing billions of dollars into refining the technology and constructing vast enrichment facilities, like the secretive Fordow installation, which is built deep underground inside a mountain.

After launching its first wave of strikes on Iran, Israel pointed to a recent report by the International Atomic Energy Agency, which acknowledged Iran is enriching uranium to a higher level than other countries without nuclear weapons programs, in violation of its nuclear non-proliferation obligations.

But after more than a week of intensive Israeli airstrikes, which has seen Iran lose large parts of its enrichment program, the Islamic Republic’s hardline calculations may eventually change, the Western European diplomat told CNN.

“Because Iran is now under immense military pressure, it might run out of options, and their nuclear capability is being degraded,” the diplomat said.

Until Trump’s decision to allow diplomacy another shot, the Geneva talks had looked like a European sideshow, with the US seemingly poised to join with Israel in the destruction of Iranian nuclear facilities.

The meeting, between the EU’s foreign policy chief, alongside the British, French and German foreign ministers and their Iranian counterpart, is now taking on greater significance, setting the stage for next steps and possibly acting as a bridge between Iran and the United States.

But there is an underlying fear in Geneva that the reinvigorated talks here, the first formal meetings with Iranian representatives since the escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict, will still go nowhere.

Even Trump’s announcement of a two-week window may be a ploy by the mercurial American president to play for time, the Western European diplomat told CNN, while US military forces are assembled and readied for the “big gamble” of a military intervention that “could inflame the region.”

“It’s impossible to read anything Trump says because there is a daily barrage of statements,” the diplomat added.

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Source: CNN