In 2018, Democrats won back the House — ending eight years of Republican control — with the help of dozens of candidates with national security backgrounds who vowed to serve as a check against the first Trump administration. This year, two of those successful candidates — Virginia’s Abigail Spanberger and New Jersey’s Mikie Sherrill — are taking on a new challenge following President Donald Trump’s return to power: running for governor. As Democrats grapple with how best to improve their diminished standing with voters, the upcoming races for governor in Virginia and New Jersey will serve as crucial tests for the party ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Spanberger’s and Sherrill’s campaigns could offer critical clues to next year’s candidates as they seek to understand the mood of the electorate a year after Trump’s 2024 victory. The two candidates — and former Capitol Hill roommates — are facing vastly different races. Sherrill is one of half a dozen candidates seeking to portray themselves as the Democratic fighter best positioned to take on the eventual Republican nominee and the Trump administration ahead of a June 10 primary. One recent Sherrill ad warns that Jack Ciattarelli, who was endorsed by Trump this month, will bring the president’s “MAGA agenda” to the state. The spot highlights Sherrill’s record as a Navy pilot and federal prosecutor and describes her as the Democrat “Republicans fear.” Spanberger — who, like her Republican opponent, Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, is running unopposed — is directing much of her focus toward criticizing the record of outgoing Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin. The former CIA intelligence officer has hammered Earle-Sears and Youngkin over their response to the Department of Government Efficiency as the Elon Musk-led effort aims to shrink the size of the federal workforce that employs more than 300,000 Virginians. Spanberger, who did not run for reelection in the House last year, and Sherrill, who held on to her seat, are portraying themselves as results driven and willing to buck their party if necessary. “People can label me however they want as a question of policy, but I think what is the most substantial characteristic that I ascribe to myself is pragmatic,” Spanberger told CNN in an interview earlier this year. “Throughout my time in Congress, my frustration — when I had expressed it at various different points in time — was rooted in that pragmatism.” They are also testing out ways to message on economic concerns, an area where Trump held a significant advantage among voters last November but has seen some erosion amid his trade war. They’re also acknowledging that, if they’re elected in these new roles, they would be in a much better position to impact the lives of a larger swath of people. “At this moment, the fight is really in the states, that’s where the front line is,” Sherrill told CNN after a campaign event in Elizabeth, New Jersey. “It’s going to be strong Democratic governors who can best help the nation.” Sherrill said Democrats need to build the party from the ground up by “taking an expansive view of state power” as they push to make life more affordable for voters and run effective governments. Even as Democrats are working to counter Trump administration policies, the party must continue to keep a focus on kitchen-table issues, she said. “Sometimes we get caught up in some of the concerns we have — which are huge, huge concerns — about what’s coming up in Washington, but don’t always remind people of the work we’re doing to drive down costs,” Sherrill said. A different type of Democrat Democrats flipped 41 House seats in the 2018 midterm elections and elected 67 new members overall. Three cycles later, about half of them are still in office. Several have already sought higher office. Andy Kim of New Jersey and Elissa Slotkin of Michigan were both elected to the US Senate, while former Reps. Colin Allred of Texas, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell of Florida and Katie Porter of California lost Senate bids last year. A handful are also running in primaries ahead of next year’s midterm elections. Former Interior Secretary and New Mexico Rep. Deb Haaland is running for governor in her state, as is Porter. Reps. Chris Pappas of New Hampshire, Haley Stevens of Michigan and Angie Craig of Minnesota are all running for Senate. Dan Sena, the executive director of House Democrats’ campaign arm during the 2018 cycle, described the candidates who ran then as “independent, country first-driven” leaders who at times stood up to their own party. Sena, who is now working with an outside group supporting Sherrill’s campaign, said Democrats should look to the 2018 recruiting formula next year. “They should be looking for candidates that can support the Democratic Party but look and feel like a different type of Democrat: a Democrat with a record of service, a Democrat that’s a patriot, a Democrat that puts their country first,” he said. Virginia and New Jersey shifted toward Trump during the 2024 election, but history suggests political headwinds are likely to favor Democrats in the upcoming gubernatorial races. Over the last several decades both states have elected candidates from the party that lost the White House the year before, with two exceptions: Democrat Terry McAuliffe won the 2013 Virginia governor’s race after President Barack Obama was reelected, and Democratic New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy was reelected in 2021 after President Joe Biden won in 2020. Both seats are open due to the incumbents being term-limited. Democrats are also hoping to capitalize on high-profile Republican legislation, just as they did in 2018 when Democratic candidates blasted their opponents over their votes backing a failed effort to repeal the Affordable Care Act. This time around, Democrats are pointing to the sweeping tax and spending cuts proposal House Republicans passed last week, which would add work requirements to Medicaid and make deep cuts to food stamps. “Winning these campaigns is really about being able to explain to voters the ways in which these candidates are going to stand up for them and fight for them,” said Jessica Mackler, the president of EMILY’s List, which works to elect women who support abortion rights and has long backed Spanberger and Sherrill. Republicans have started preparing their own messaging on the bill, arguing that provisions like no taxes on tips are popular, and that the restrictions on Medicaid benefits will sustain the program for those who need it most. “It’s going to be imperative you tie them to national trends that are potentially negative in party politics that they’re going to have to deal with in both New Jersey and Virginia,” one GOP strategist who has worked on House campaigns said of Spanberger and the eventual Democratic nominee in New Jersey. Spanberger and the field of New Jersey Democratic gubernatorial candidates are attempting to rehabilitate the party’s brand when it comes to economic issues. Or, at the very least, not be associated with it. Patricia Campos-Medina, a labor leader and former New Jersey US Senate candidate backing Sherrill, said affordability is the No. 1 issue for Garden State voters — including housing, transportation and energy bill costs. “That’s how we counteract this idea that Trump and the Republicans are the only ones who care about the economy and your job,” Campos-Medina said. “Democrats care about the economy and jobs and housing and schools and transportation, and that’s the message that’s going to resonate.” At events in northern New Jersey, Sherrill repeatedly pointed to her proposals to build more residences to reduce housing costs. At a recent campaign event at a family-owned drugstore in Mechanicsville, a small, Republican-leaning town outside Richmond, Spanberger laid out her plan to lower health care and prescription drug costs. She also referenced the influence that health care issues had on her decision to first run for Congress. “Back in 2017 I watched my member of Congress vote to repeal the Affordable Care Act,” Spanberger said. “It was then that I knew that I needed to run against him.” As she highlighted her plan to boost the affordability of Virginia’s health care as governor, Spanberger said she saw similarities between the 2017 health care debate and the current fight over the far-reaching domestic policy bill. “Now, unfortunately, we’re seeing much of the same, which is an effort to further degrade a health care system that very frankly and objectively needs improvements,” Spanberger told reporters. Getting the message In interviews, Democratic primary voters in both New Jersey and Virginia said they were looking for governors who would serve as a check on the Trump administration. Many expressed frustrations with the Democratic Party, which they said either did not have a clear, unifying message or needed to focus more on affordability issues. Mary Butler, a 74-year-old retired social worker from Mechanicsville who attended Spanberger’s speech and plans to support her in November, said health care access was deeply important to her because she saw how a lack of access could impact her former clients. Asked to assess national Democrats’ performance, she said the party’s vision wasn’t being communicated well. “Why isn’t there a really strong message being given — one clear, strong message?” Butler said. “It’s a real question mark for me, I don’t understand it.” At a campaign stop over Memorial Day weekend, Sherrill gave her stump speech and took questions from a few dozen voters at a pizza shop in Jersey City, where one primary opponent, Steven Fulop, serves as mayor. The questions focused on housing costs, education and how Sherrill, as governor, would respond to parts of the president’s agenda, such as immigration. Sherrill criticized Republicans, from Ciattarelli to members of Congress, for not pushing back on the president. She likened them to sailors on a ship ignoring impending danger for fear of reprisal over speaking out. “A lesson I learned in the Navy: The worst thing you can do is to run a ship aground,” Sherrill said. “And you find when you do that, that people on that ship know it’s going to run aground, and they don’t say anything because they’re scared.” Susan Murphy, a 57-year-old retired theater teacher and Jersey City native, said she will vote for whoever wins the Democratic nomination, but she thought Sherrill seemed to be the strongest to go up against a “MAGA Republican.” She said she viewed Democratic governors as a check on the administration and wondered why national leaders in her party seemed unprepared to take on the Trump administration at the start of his term. “I know that their hands are tied in terms of holding Trump accountable in many ways,” she said. “My problem is, why weren’t they ready? Why did it take so long?” David Patel, a 59-year-old business owner from Jersey City who is backing Sherrill, said Democrats “need to learn what people want.” He said he sometimes gets frustrated with what he described as his party’s tendency to focus on issues “that don’t matter.” Asked what those issues are, he instead pointed to what he would like to hear about: health care, job creation and training, and education. He said he hoped losing the presidential election would get the party back on track: “I think they got the message.”
They helped Democrats win back the House in 2018. Now they’re taking on a new mission
TruthLens AI Suggested Headline:
"Democratic Candidates Spanberger and Sherrill Seek Gubernatorial Positions Amid Political Challenges"
TruthLens AI Summary
In the wake of the 2018 midterm elections, Democrats regained control of the House with the help of candidates with national security backgrounds, who aimed to counter the policies of the Trump administration. Now, two of those successful candidates, Abigail Spanberger from Virginia and Mikie Sherrill from New Jersey, are transitioning to new roles as they both seek gubernatorial positions. Their campaigns are critical for the Democratic Party as they navigate a complex political landscape following Trump's return to power. Spanberger and Sherrill are not only attempting to reclaim their party's footing but also to address pressing voter concerns just ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Sherrill's campaign emphasizes her military and prosecutorial background, positioning herself as a formidable opponent against Republican candidates, while Spanberger focuses on critiquing the record of the current Republican governor and addressing economic issues affecting Virginians. Both candidates are exploring how to effectively communicate their messages on kitchen-table issues, such as healthcare and housing affordability, as they strive to resonate with voters who feel disconnected from the Democratic Party's current agenda.
As they embark on this new political journey, Spanberger and Sherrill are also testing the waters for future Democratic candidates by showcasing their willingness to break from party lines when necessary. The upcoming gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey are seen as vital indicators of the party's direction and voter sentiment in the aftermath of the 2024 election cycle. With a history of Democrats historically winning gubernatorial races in states where they lost the presidential election, there is cautious optimism among party strategists. Both candidates are attempting to rehabilitate the Democratic brand on economic issues, countering perceptions that Republicans hold a monopoly on concerns about job creation and economic stability. As they connect with voters, Spanberger and Sherrill are not only advocating for their own gubernatorial aspirations but also working to redefine the party's message and priorities in a changing political environment, where addressing the immediate needs and concerns of constituents has become paramount.
TruthLens AI Analysis
The article delves into the political landscape shaped by two Democratic candidates, Abigail Spanberger and Mikie Sherrill, who are transitioning from their roles in Congress to running for governor in Virginia and New Jersey, respectively. It highlights the strategic importance of these gubernatorial races for the Democratic Party, especially in light of Donald Trump's political resurgence.
Political Context and Strategy
The piece emphasizes the significance of Spanberger and Sherrill's campaigns as they represent a response to the shifting political dynamics following Trump's return to power. Their backgrounds in national security are portrayed as assets against Republican candidates, aligning them with a narrative of strong leadership in contrast to the Trump administration. This framing can be seen as a tactic to unify the Democratic base and appeal to voters concerned about the consequences of Republican governance.
Voter Sentiment and Electoral Implications
The article suggests that the upcoming races will serve as barometers for the Democratic Party's standing with voters. By analyzing the strategies of Spanberger and Sherrill, the party hopes to glean insights into the electorate's mood and adjust their messaging ahead of the crucial 2026 midterm elections. This indicates a proactive approach to electoral strategy, as the party seeks to mitigate its losses and bolster its image.
Target Audience and Community Support
The candidates are portrayed as representatives of a more progressive and proactive Democratic Party. The narrative aims to resonate particularly with communities that prioritize national security, women in leadership, and the defense of democratic values against perceived threats posed by the Trump administration. This focus on strong female candidates also serves to mobilize support from women voters and younger demographics.
Economic and Political Impact
The outcomes of these gubernatorial races could have broader implications not only for the Democratic Party but also for the economy and political climate in the states involved. Successful campaigns could enhance Democratic visibility and influence, potentially shaping policies that affect state economies and social issues. Conversely, losses could further entrench Republican power and exacerbate divisions.
Manipulative Elements and Reliability
While the article primarily conveys information about the candidates and their strategies, it does so through a lens that may serve the Democratic Party's goals. The emphasis on national security backgrounds and the framing of Republican opponents as out of touch could be seen as an attempt to manipulate public perception. However, the article presents factual details about the candidates and their campaigns, maintaining a level of reliability in its reporting.
Conclusion
Overall, the article offers a nuanced view of the political landscape, highlighting the strategic importance of Spanberger and Sherrill's races. It serves to galvanize support for Democratic candidates while also providing insights into the evolving dynamics of American politics.