When most people contemplate the future of America’s conflict with Iran, they hunt for clues in grainy satellite photos, statements from military analysts and President Trump’s social media posts.
But when scholarDiana Butler Bassconsiders what could happen next, her thoughts turn toward another group she says is now thinking more about prophecy than politics.
She recalls warnings from her childhood about the rise of an Antichrist, stories about weeping mothers clutching their empty blankets after their babies were suddenly“Raptured”to heaven andpaintingsof an angry Jesus leading armies of angels to an Armageddon-like, finalbattle in modern-day Israel.
Those stories terrified and thrilled Bass when she heard them growing up in a White evangelical church in the 1970s. It was a time when the end always seemed near, and books like the bestseller“The Late Great Planet Earth”warned Christians to gird their loins for a period ofGreat Tribulationand prepare for Jesus’ triumphantreturn to Jerusalem.
Bass, a prominent,progressive religious authorwho hosts a popular Substack newsletter called “The Cottage,” no longer believes those stories. Yet when she considers why the US struck three nuclear facilities in Iran this month and what could happen next, she nowoffersa prophecy of her own: Bombing Iran will reinforce Trump’s status as God’s “Chosen One”and Israel as Hischosen nationamong many of the President’s White evangelical supporters.
Many of these supporters dismiss the dangers of a larger war, she tells CNN, because such a clash would mean the world is approaching the “end times” — a series of cataclysmic events ushering in the Second Coming of Christ and therise of Israelas the fulfillment of biblical prophecies.
“There’s almost a kind ofspiritual eagernessfor a war in the Middle East,” says Bass, describing attitudes among some White evangelicals. “They believe a war is going to set off a series of events that will result in Jesus returning.”
Trump’s decision to bomb Iran has so far been examined almost exclusively through the lens of politics or military strategy. Yet there is a religious dimension to his decision – and what could happen next – that’s been underexplored.
America’s approach to Iran and Israel may not just be driven by sober assessment of geopolitics. Bass and other religious scholars say US policy in the Middle East is also influenced by the controversial teachings of apugnacious19th century Anglo-Irish clergyman and a series of lurid, “Left Behind”doomsday Christian books and films.
This is dangerous, says Jemar Tisby, a historian and best-selling author of“Stories of the Spirit of Justice.”
“Trump’s action underscores how these theological beliefs are not abstract; they have direct, dangerous, and deadly consequences,” Tisby wrote recently in his“Footnotes”newsletter. He elaborated in an interview this week with CNN, saying that that apocalyptic visions from the Bible should not influence America’s policy in Israel or Iran in any way.
“You layer on this prophecy about the rise of Israel and now all of a sudden you have this very literalistic interpretation of the Bible informing US foreign policy,” he says.
White evangelicals who see America’s conflict with Iran as primarily a spiritual battle instead of a political one tend to be motivated by several beliefs.
One belief is that Trump is God’s“chosen one,”saved from assassination last year to do God’s work and protect Israel. He is, to borrow from the parlance of evangelical subculture, called “for such a time as this.” This belief is reflected ina text messageto Trump fromMike Huckabee,the prominent evangelical and former Arkansas governor who was appointed by Trump to be US ambassador to Israel.
In the text, which wasshared by Trump, Huckabee alluded to the two assassination attempts Trump survived last year in saying that God spared him “to be the most consequential President in a century—maybe ever.” He added, “I trust your instincts,” because “I believe you hear from heaven,” and that “You did not seek this moment. This moment sought YOU!”
Huckabee’s ambassadorship to Israel is not surprising. Many White evangelicals believe the church is obligated by the Bible to provide unwavering support to Israel. They view the ancient Israel described in the Bibleas the sameas the modern nation-state of Israel, which was created in1948.
Trump reinforced this view during his first term when he broke from decades of American policy tomove theUS embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem and recognize Jerusalem as the Israeli capital. The move thrilled many White evangelical leaders, two of whomattendeda ceremony marking the occasion.
There is a long history of White evangelical leaders urging American presidents and politicians to treat Israel as a divinely favored nation. Many White evangelicalsbelieveIsrael’s existence is a fulfillment of biblical prophecies that wouldusher inJesus’ return.
Some cite a scripture from Genesis 12:3, which recounts God saying, “I will bless those who bless you, and him who dishonors you, I will curse.” That passagedepictsGod addressing Abraham, the Jewish patriarch and “father of all nations.”
But some White evangelicals say that passage also refers to Israel — both then and now. Republican Sen. Ted Cruz alluded to that scripture when he defended his support of Israel’s war with Iran in a recent interview. “Growing up in Sunday School, I was taught from the Bible that those who bless Israel will be blessed and those who curse Israel will be cursed,” hesaid.
Other evangelical leaders have made similar claims.Pastor John Hagee,a prominent evangelical leader, has said that supporting Israel is not a political issue — it’s a biblical one. Hagee is the founder and chairman ofChristians United for Israel,which boasts 10 million members and bills itself as the largest pro-Israel organization in the US.
“It is not possible to say, ‘I believe in the Bible’ and not support Israel and the Jewish people,” he once declared.
Trumpwonthe support of about 8 out of 10 White evangelical Christian voters in the 2024 presidential election. And in aCNN pollafter the airstrikes on Iran, 87% of Republicans said they trust Trump to make the right decisions about US’ use of force against the country.
Franklin Graham, son of the late evangelical leader Billy Graham,said on Xafter the bombing of Iran “that the world is in a much safer place.” TheRev. Robert Jeffress,a prominent evangelical leader, suggested last week that opposition to Israel is rebellion against God. While delivering a Sunday sermon praising Trump’s decision, Jeffress sermon wasinterruptedby applause and a standing ovation from his congregation.
“Those who oppose Israel are always on the wrong side of history, and most importantly, they are on the wrong side of God,” Jeffresssaid.“And I thank God we finally have a president who understands that truth in Donald Trump.”
Such unconditional support of Israel might make spiritual sense to evangelicals. But some scholars say it’s a risky stance for a multiracial and multireligious democracy like the US to take. Americans’ support for Israel haddroppedto historic lows before the US’ use of force in Iran.
Tisby, the religious historian, tells CNN that the Israel depicted in the Bible is not the same as the modern-day country.
“If you conflate the two, you end up supporting all kinds of actions that hurt people in the name of politics,” Tisby says. “It leads to the reluctance to recognize the rights of Palestinians. It blinds us to the human rights and justice issues that are at stake in the Middle East.”
Tisby and other religion scholars say America’s bombing of Iran is also influenced by another source: a form of Christianity pioneered in the 19th century byJohn Nelson Darby,an Anglo-Irish pastor.
Darby looked at certain passages in the Bibe’s book of Revelations and devised the concept of “dispensationalism.” It divides history into distinct “dispensations,” or periods through which God interacts with humanity differently. Many adherents to this tradition believe in a fiery apocalypse and the “Rapture” — a moment when Christians are suddenly lifted to heaven before a period of tribulation on Earth.
Darby’s views were amplified a century later by the popular “Left Behind” novels andfilmsof the 1990s and 2000s, which reached millions of evangelicals with apocalyptic visions of the end times. The book series, inspired by Rapture theology and gory scenes in the Book of Revelation, has sold more than 65 million copies.
The “Left Behind” books were marketed as fiction, but they were treated as biblical truth by many evangelicals. Views of dispensationalism were taught in many evangelical churches, youth camps and Sunday schools, bringing them into the mainstream.
Central to dispensationalism is the role of Israel in the last days. Its adherents believe that the establishment of the modern state of Israel marks the beginning of the end times — heralding the Second Coming of Christ. Israel’s geopolitical success and security are seen as necessary preconditions for Christ’s return, Tisby says.
Dispensationalism has permeated White evangelical culture so much that many evangelicals today have adopted its tenets without being familiar with the term, Tisby says.
“Just because you don’t have the name doesn’t mean you’re not actually adhering to the beliefs,” he says. “It’s so common now that it doesn’t need to be named anymore.”
Prophecies about angelic armies battling demonic armies in an apocalyptic Middle East sound implausible to many, but such beliefs gripped many of the White evangelical pastors and families she grew up with, says Bass, author of“Freeing Jesus.”
She recalls evangelical pastors preaching that whenever Israel gained more territory, it was God’s will. Some pastors condemned Iran as evil. Jews, they said, would finally accept Jesus as their savior. But Jesus’ return would be preceded by a series of cataclysmic events like the sudden disappearance of God’s faithful and those “left behind” — the non-believers who didn’t accept Jesus.
The belief that Christians could be teleported to heaven in the twinkle of an eye traumatized many young people at the time, she says.
“I had friends who would literally wake up in the middle of the night. And if their house was really quiet they would get very frightened and they’d sneak into their parents’ bedroom to make sure their parents were still in their house,” she says.
Most mainstream biblical scholars say the word “rapture”does not appearin most translations of the Bible or the Book of Revelation. Many mainstream Biblical scholarssaythe Book of Revelation does not depict the literal end of the world: It’s ananti-Roman tractthat used coded language to tell Christians that God would destroy Rome’s evil empire.
Bass calls belief in the Rapture a “completely invented theology” and “one of the most wildly successful heresies in the history of Christianity.”
A belief system that says God will end the world through violence offers no incentive for a political or religious leader to avoid war — or backtrack when events spiral out of control, she says.
“In the framework of this ‘end times’ theology, destruction is always a sign that God is working and is about to return,” Bass says. “In this theology, the worse things become, the closer it is to the end. There is no motivation to do good, care for the poor, make sure that wars don’t happen, and care for the planet.”
Apocalyptic visions about the end of the world are common in many religions. And it’s not unusual for a political leader to invoke God before going to war.
But when citizens in a democracy believe political leaders are divinely appointed and driven by prophecies, it leaves no room for debate, Tisby says.
“There’s a sort of fundamentalism to it all,” he says. “It’s unbending, unchanging and it can’t be critiqued because its divine. Who are we to question?
“Any uncritical, unyielding support of a political actor, no matter what the conflict, is dangerous,” he says.
If this is part of the dynamic that guides the US’ future actions in the Middle East, it could lead to another final question.
Many critics of Iran say it is a theocracy led by someone who reduces the world to a clash between good and evil and whose foreign policy isdrivenby apocalyptic religious myths.
What if America’s clash with Iran is driven in part by some of the same religious forces?
John Blake is a CNN senior writer and author ofthe award-winning memoir, “More Than I Imagined: What a Black Man Discovered About the White Mother He Never Knew.”