US economy adds 147,000 jobs in June, surpassing expectations amid Trump trade war

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"US Labor Market Shows Strength with 147,000 Jobs Added in June Amid Trade Tensions"

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In June, the US economy demonstrated resilience by adding 147,000 jobs, exceeding economists' expectations despite ongoing challenges from the trade war initiated by the Trump administration. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that this number represented an increase of 8,000 jobs compared to May, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, down from 4.2%. Notably, job gains were concentrated in state government and healthcare sectors, which added 47,000 and 39,000 jobs, respectively. Conversely, the federal government continued to experience job losses, shedding an additional 7,000 positions in May, bringing the total loss since January to 69,000. While the stock market has rebounded since a significant dip earlier in the spring, there are concerns that the labor market's apparent strength may not fully reflect the economic pressures stemming from tariffs and trade tensions.

Despite the job growth in June, there are signs of hesitancy among employers, with payroll firm ADP reporting a loss of 33,000 private sector jobs, a stark contrast to the anticipated gain of 100,000. This decline marked the first decrease since March 2023, raising questions about the sustainability of job creation. While layoffs remain uncommon, many companies are reportedly reluctant to hire new workers or replace those who leave. The BLS also indicated that job openings, although rising in May, were primarily in the leisure and hospitality sectors. Economists suggest that the recent spike in hiring may be a temporary response to fears surrounding immigration policy changes. Meanwhile, the Trump administration continues to negotiate tariff agreements with various countries, including a recent deal with Vietnam. As economic uncertainty looms, President Trump has criticized the Federal Reserve for not lowering interest rates, asserting that high rates are detrimental to the economy, while Fed Chair Jerome Powell has indicated that uncertainty from tariffs has influenced the Fed's decisions.

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The US economy added 147,000 jobs in June, a sign of continuing strength in the labor market amidDonald Trump’s trade war.

The number of jobs added surpassed expectations, as economists largely anticipated a drop in openings. Instead, 8,000 more jobs were added in June compared with May, according to new job figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The unemployment rate actually decreased to 4.1%, down from 4.2% in May.

Job gains were seen in state government and healthcare, which saw increases of 47,000 and 39,000 jobs, respectively. Meanwhile, federal government job losses continued, with another 7,000 roles down in May, as theTrump administrationcontinues to cut jobs. The total job loss in the federal government has been 69,000 since January.

Though thepresident’s tariffshave rocked the US stock market, which has seen a dramatic rebound after dipping down 15% in the spring, economists have been worrying that the labor market has just been slower to show sensitivity to the tariffs.

New data had shown employers showing signs of hesitancy. Payroll firm ADP found that the private sectorlost 33,000 jobsin June, far below the 100,000 increase that was expected, and the first decrease since March 2023.

The dip in job openings doesn’t necessarily mean companies are laying off more workers; rather, they are creating fewer new positions.

“Though layoffs continue to be rare, a hesitancy to hire and a reluctance to replace departing workers led to job losses last month,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP, in a statement.

Data from BLSthat measures job openings and turnoversin the labor market found that while job openings had climbed in May, to its highest level since November, the vast majority of openings were concentrated in the leisure and hospitality industry. Economists with Citigroup said the spike in new jobs could be temporary as companies opened new positions in response to Trump’s crackdown onimmigrants, fearing that immigrant employees could lose work permits.

The White House has spent the last few months downplaying the impact tariffs have on the domestic economy, despite anxiety from both consumers and businesses over the impact tariffs have on prices.

The deadline for Trump’s 90-day pause on some of his highest tariffs is scheduled to expire next week, as the White House tries to broker deals with dozens of countries that could face high tariffs.

The White House announced on Tuesday adeal with Vietnam, whose products were scheduled to face a 46% tariff. The country agreed to a 20% tariff rate, with no tariffs placed on US exports. The deal with Vietnam follows deals Trump has made with the UK and China, but there are dozens of other countries whose exports could face high tariffs without a deal.

Amid economic uncertainty, Trump has tried to pass blame onto the Federal Reserve and its chair,Jerome Powell. On Monday, Trumpsent an open letterto Powell demanding that the Fed lower interest rates.

“He’s costing us a fortune because he keeps the rate way up,” Trump wrote on social media.

Powell, in turn, has said that the Fed has not lowered interest rates because of economic uncertainty caused by Trump’s tariffs.

“In effect, we went on hold when we saw the size of the tariffs,” Powell said. “Essentially all inflation forecasts for the United States went up materially as a consequence of the tariffs.”

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Source: The Guardian