When the 12-day war against Iran was launched,Israelsaid it was because the Islamic Republic was on the verge of developing a nuclear bomb. US intelligence reports from earlier in the year told a different story. Now the war is over and confusion remains – has Iran’s nuclear programme been destroyed?
The Guardian’s diplomatic editor,Patrick Wintour,tellsMichael Safiwhat we know – and why we don’t know more – about what the conflict actually achieved. WhileRouzbeh Parsi,a historian who studies Iran’s nuclear programme explains why the ambiguity around Iran’s intentions are partly a deliberate strategy. Yet, he says, it is one that has been a dangerous gamble for the country – and one which seems to have cost them dearly. What will the Iranian regime do next? Could it abandon its programme or will it decide to race towards making a bomb?