The US credit rating has been downgraded. But there’s an easy fix for our debt | Robert Reich

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"Moody's Downgrades US Credit Rating Amid Rising Debt Concerns"

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TruthLens AI Summary

On Friday, Moody's downgraded the credit rating of the United States, citing the government's rising debt levels that are expected to increase further if the proposed Trump Republican tax cuts are enacted. This downgrade, which makes lending to the US government riskier, marks the third major credit-rating agency to take such action. The implications of this downgrade are significant, as so-called 'bond vigilantes' have started to sell US government debt, leading to expectations of rising long-term interest rates. These interest rate increases are a direct response to the perceived growing risk associated with holding US debt. Concurrently, some right-wing Republicans in Congress are using this downgrade as a rationale for implementing deeper cuts to essential social programs such as Medicaid and food stamps, which disproportionately affect lower-income Americans.

However, Robert Reich, a former US Secretary of Labor, argues that there is a more straightforward solution to address the federal debt crisis. He proposes ending the Trump tax cuts, which primarily benefit the wealthy and large corporations, and instead suggests raising taxes on these affluent groups. Historically, Reich recalls a period when the wealthiest Americans contributed significantly to government financing through taxes, a stark contrast to the current situation where tax rates for the super-rich have drastically decreased since the Reagan administration. The current tax structure places an increasing burden on the rest of the population, as a significant portion of tax revenues is now used to pay interest on the national debt, much of which is held by wealthy Americans. This situation could lead to higher interest payments for the general public and increased borrowing costs across various sectors, including mortgages and auto loans. Ultimately, Reich emphasizes that the growing political influence of the super-rich and corporations is at the heart of the issue, as they continue to benefit at the expense of the average American, perpetuating a cycle of debt and financial strain for many.

TruthLens AI Analysis

The article examines the recent downgrade of the United States' credit rating by Moody's and the potential political and economic implications surrounding this decision. It presents a critical perspective on current tax policies and advocates for a shift in how the government finances its operations.

Implications of the Downgrade

The downgrade of the US credit rating signifies increasing concerns about the government's rising debt levels. It suggests that lending to the US is becoming riskier, which could lead to higher long-term interest rates as bond vigilantes react by selling US debt. This situation is portrayed as a direct consequence of proposed Republican tax cuts, which could exacerbate debt levels.

Political Maneuvering

The article highlights how some Republican lawmakers are using the downgrade to advocate for deeper cuts in social programs that assist low-income Americans. This framing suggests a narrative where the consequences of tax policy decisions are shifted onto the most vulnerable segments of the population, while the wealthy are less impacted.

Alternative Solutions

Reich argues for a reversal of tax cuts that benefit the wealthy, advocating instead for higher taxes on this demographic to alleviate the federal debt. He draws historical comparisons to earlier tax policies under Eisenhower, emphasizing that the super-rich previously contributed significantly to government finances. This aspect of the article seeks to challenge current tax narratives and suggests that a more equitable tax system could address debt concerns without harming social safety nets.

Perception Management

The article aims to create a perception that the economic challenges faced are not due solely to external factors but are a direct result of policy choices favoring the wealthy. It implies that a change in tax policy could provide a straightforward solution to the debt problem, thus influencing public sentiment against current Republican tax strategies.

Trustworthiness and Reliability

The article is framed with a clear ideological bias, presenting a one-sided view that may lack comprehensive analysis of the complexities of US debt and tax policies. While it presents factual information regarding the downgrade and the effects of tax cuts, the interpretation and proposed solutions reflect a specific political stance, potentially diminishing its objectivity.

Community Support

This article likely resonates more with progressive and left-leaning communities that support higher taxes on the wealthy and advocate for robust social programs. It appeals to those who feel disadvantaged by current tax policies and may serve to mobilize public opinion against perceived injustices in fiscal policy.

Market Impact

In terms of financial markets, the downgrade might influence investor confidence, particularly in US Treasury bonds. The article suggests that rising interest rates could affect various sectors, especially those reliant on borrowing. Stocks of companies with high debt levels could be particularly vulnerable to shifts in interest rates.

Global Context

In the broader context of global power dynamics, the credit rating downgrade could affect the US's standing in international markets. As the world's largest economy, its fiscal policies and creditworthiness are closely monitored, and any perceived instability can have ripple effects on global markets.

Artificial Intelligence Consideration

It is unclear whether artificial intelligence was used in crafting this article, but the structured argumentation and persuasive language may suggest an influence of AI in shaping the narrative. AI tools could be employed to analyze data trends or optimize language for emotional impact, although specific AI models cannot be identified in this context.

Overall, the article presents a compelling yet biased perspective on the issues at hand, and while it contains valid points, it ultimately serves an agenda that aligns with particular political ideologies rather than providing a balanced overview of the situation.

Unanalyzed Article Content

On Friday, thecredit rating of the United States was downgraded. Moody’s, the ratings firm, announced that the government’s rising debt levels would grow further if theTrumpRepublican package of new tax cuts were enacted. This makes lending to the US riskier.

Moody’s is the third of the three major credit-rating agencies to downgrade the credit rating of the United States.

So-called “bond vigilantes” have already been selling the US government’s debt, as the Republican tax package moves through Congress. They’re expected to sell even more, driving long-term interest rates even higher to make up for the growing risk of holding US debt.

Some rightwingRepublicansin Congress are using the Moody’s downgrade to justify deeper spending cuts in Medicaid, food stamps and other social programs that lower-income Americans depend on.

But, hello? There’s a far easier way to reduce the federal debt. Just end the Trump tax cuts that mainly benefit the wealthy and big corporations – and insteadraisetaxes on them.

I’m old enough to remember when the US’s super-rich financed the government with their tax payments. Under Dwight Eisenhower – hardly a leftwing radical – the highest marginal tax rate was 91%. (Even after all tax credits and deductions were figured in, the super-rich paid way over half their top marginal incomes in taxes.)

But since the Reagan, George W Bush and Trump 1 tax cuts, tax rates on the super-rich have plummeted.

So instead of financing the government with their taxes, the super-rich have been financing the US government bylending it money.

(You may have heard that the US’s debt is held mainly by foreigners. Wrong.More than 70%of it is held byAmericans– and most of them are wealthy.)

This means that an ever-increasing portion of the taxes from therestof us are dedicated to paying ever-increasing interest payments on the debt – payments that go largely to the super-rich.

So when the debt of the United States is downgraded because Trump Republicans are planning another big tax cut mainly benefiting the rich and big corporations, most Americans could end up paying in three different ways:

They’ll pay evenmoreinterest on the growing debt – to the super-rich.

They’ll pay higher interest rates on all other long-term debt. (As higher rates on treasury bonds waft through the economy, they raise borrowing costs on everything from mortgages to auto loans.)

The debt crisis will give Republicans even more excuse to do what they’re always wanting to do: slash safety nets. So many Americans could lose benefits they rely on, such asMedicaidand food stamps.

The “bond vigilantes” are not the cause of this absurdity. Neither is Moody’s or the other credit-rating agencies. Nor, for that matter, is the growing national debt.

What’s the underlying cause? Just follow the money. It’s the growing political power of the super-rich and big corporations to lower their taxes at the expense of most Americans.

Robert Reich, a former US secretary of labor, is a professor of public policy emeritus at the University of California, Berkeley. He is a Guardian US columnist. His newsletter is atrobertreich.substack.com

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Source: The Guardian