China is bolstering its geo-political influence in the Pacific by “branding” Asian Development Bank projects – funded in significant part by Australian taxpayer dollars – as Chinese projects, the Australian government says.
On the island of Bougainville, an autonomous region ofPapua New Guineato Australia’s north, the state-owned China Railway Construction Corporation has begun work to strengthen the runway at Kieta-Aropa, on the outskirts of the largest city.
When the government of Bougainvilleannounced the upgrade of the airport, there was no mention of the Asian Development Bank – who is funding the project – only the state-owned China Railway Construction Corporation.
And when an inauguration ceremony was held last month at the airport’s runway, the president ofBougainvilleand the prime minister of Papua New Guinea broke the ground with a shovel wearing hardhats adorned with the name and logo of the CRCC. An ADB sign was visible in the background.
Australia’s minister for the Pacific, Pat Conroy, said the “branding” of multilateral development projects had been a consistent frustration for the government.
“It’s not Chinese assistance. A Chinese state-owned-enterprise won a contract under the Asian Development Bank … that project is funded by the ADB.
“The largest donors to the ADB are countries like Japan and Australia, which is part of my frustration … because people driving past would assume it’s funded by China because you see Chinese state-owned-enterprise branding everywhere, but it’s funded by the taxpayers of countries like Japan and Australia.”
Conroy said he hadlobbied the ADBto improve its procurement processes – “to make sure they go for quality rather than the cheapest bid” – and to limit nationalised “branding” of projects, reforms to which it has agreed.
The ADB is a major development backer across the Pacific. Australia is the fund’s second-highest contributor after Japan.
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Asked if he felt China was seeking to bolster its influence through multilateral organisations like the ADB, Conroy told the Guardian: “I think that’s a reasonable conclusion.
“I’m sure they seek to make money out of these projects as well, but if they’re able to brand them with a [state-owned enterprise]’s name, then there’s a secondary benefit, obviously.”
Conroy said the contest for influence extended beyond Bougainville, which is seeking independence from Papua New Guinea by 1 September 2027.
“We’ve been very clear that there’s a permanent state of contest in the Pacific, that Australia is seeking to be the partner of choice for every Pacific nation and that China is seeking a role there as well.”
Emma Veve, director general of the ADB’s Pacific Department, said the bank was expanding across the region, with strong support from countries like Australia.
“ADB is proud of its work and committed to ensuring that project information is visible to the public during the execution of construction works and that there is a precise acknowledgment of project funding sources.”
In the context of broader contestation in the Pacific, there are concerns from traditional allies over a deepening Chinese influence, particularly around security: three Pacific countries have “flipped” their formal recognition from Taipei to Beijing since 2019 and China now has police training programs in Solomon Islands, Kiribati, Samoa, Fiji and Vanuatu.
In the US, the conservative Heritage Foundation – whose Project 2025 document has guided much of Donald Trump’s agenda – argues the possibility of an independent Bougainville is ageostrategic opportunityfor America.
“The US must take advantage of this opportunity, or risk ceding to Beijing a first-mover advantage in a vital corner of the Indo-Pacific, where the balance of power and influence could easily tip in China’s favour.”
But Bougainville’s deputy president, Patrick Nisira, said concerns over Chinese influence were fuelled by sceptical “western media sources”.
“Thedearth of options from traditional development partnersover the last 20 years, a rapidly shortening timeframe for self-governance … and now Chinese companies’ approaches for partnerships in these very areas, make such opportunities worth considering for the benefit of the people,” he said.
Oliver Nobetau, project director of the Australia-Papua New Guinea Network at the Lowy Institute, said he believes Bougainville will declare independence on 1 September 2027.
“Is it going to be successful? I don’t think so.
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“What happens next is the great uncertainty… nobody knows what’s going to happen on [September] 2nd.”
Nobetau said Bougainville’s strategic access is significant: the island is “right next door to Solomon Islands, and nearly smack bang in the middle of the Pacific”.
“For countries like the US and Australia, and for China, the next question is ‘who are they going to turn to for assistance?’ Because they definitely won’t be able to do it by themselves.
“Are the US and Australia worried about the influence of China on a potential newly independent Bougainville? Yes, absolutely.”
Bougainville is less than 1,500km from the Australian coast, but the pair share a complex history: first as coloniser and colonised when Bougainville was part of the Australian-controlled Territory of Papua and New Guinea.
Beginning in the 1970s, Anglo-Australian miner Rio Tinto ran Panguna mine, which sparked Bougainville’s brutal civil war. The Australian government was also directly implicated in the conflict when helicopters provided to PNG were fitted with weapons and turned on the Bougainvillean people.
But the Australian government was also a key agent in brokering the peace deal that ended the conflict.
Bougainville, a group of islands off Papua New Guinea to the north of Australia, has been variously controlled by Britain, Germany, Japan, Australia and PNG.
It declared independence in 1975 as the Republic of North Solomons, but was absorbed into the newly independent PNG weeks later.
Its close ethnic ties and proximity to the Solomons archipelago means it has always sat uneasily with Port Moresby’s rule.
That discontent came to a violent head in 1988 after a long-running dispute over the lucrative Panguna copper and gold mine.
The mine, carved from a mountain in central Bougainville, was critically important to PNG, at one point generating more than 45% of the country's national export revenue.
Multinational Rio Tinto and other international investors earned nearly US$2bn from the mine over 17 years of operation. But less than 1% of the mine’s profits went to Bougainvilleans, whose homes and lands had been destroyed by it.
Under the leadership of a former mine worker, Francis Ona, disaffected Bougainvilleans ran a sabotage campaign which forced the mine’s closure in 1989.
The PNG Government responded by sending in police, then soldiers, to restore law and order. Bougainville was blockaded and the island descended into a brutal civil war that ran for a decade, and saw as many as 20,000 people die.
PNG later hired international mercenaries to end the conflict (the notorious Sandline affair), before a peace agreement was signed in 2001.
In a 2019 referendum, 97.7% of Bougainvilleans voted in favour of independence. Many argue that reopening Panguna mine will be key to the island’s economic future as an independent nation.
Australia has, since theBougainville Peace Accords, been the island’s largest external development funder: $51m of Australia’s $631m in development assistance to PNG goes to the autonomous region, the most of any single province: money is dedicated towards roads, bridges and solar electricity projects.
Since a 2019 referendum on independence returned a 97.7% yes vote, the Australian government has sought to maintain a resolute neutrality on Bougainville’s independence – although its position has not always been seen as impartial on the island.
In 2022, the deputy prime minister, Richard Marles, said “our role is to support the prime minister, and the government of Papua New Guinea, in the decisions that it makes in respect of the future of Bougainville”, a statement seen as siding with the PNG government, which is resistant to secession.
Bougainville’s president, Ishmael Toroama, accused Marles of “veiled threats” and said Australia had made only “piecemeal contributions” to Bougainville’s development through “boomerang aid”.
“My people do not take kindly to threats and we will never kowtow to neo-colonists that seek to usurp the sovereignty of Pacific island nations with their bullying tactics and intimidation.”
Conroy said this month the question of Bougainville’s political independence was “a matter for the people of Bougainville, and Papua New Guinea more broadly, to decide”.
This project was supported by a grant from the Melbourne Press Club’s Michael Gordon Fellowships