Greggs feels the heat as shoppers shun pastries in hot June

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"Greggs Reports Sales Decline Due to June Heatwave Impacting Consumer Preferences"

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Greggs, the UK's largest bakery chain, reported a decline in sales and profits during June due to an unprecedented heatwave that discouraged customers from purchasing hot pastries. The company experienced a significant drop in its shares, nearly 13%, following a profit warning after the UK recorded its hottest day of the year, with temperatures soaring to 35C. While total sales for the first half of the year increased by 6.9% year-on-year to £1 billion, the company noted that sales growth slowed in June as high temperatures shifted consumer preferences towards cold drinks, negatively impacting overall foot traffic in stores. Greggs had previously enjoyed a boost in sales in May, largely attributed to its successful introduction of iced drinks and other new menu items that gained popularity on social media. However, the extreme heat in June led to a notable decrease in sales of traditional bakery items, which are typically favored by customers seeking comfort food.

The bakery chain's outlook for the remainder of the year has been tempered by this unexpected weather-related setback, with Greggs now anticipating that its full-year operating profits will fall “modestly below” last year’s levels. The company has also faced challenges from rising operational costs, prompting a price increase on key products, including a 5p hike on its iconic sausage rolls, now priced at £1.30. This price adjustment was necessary to offset increased wage bills due to pay raises granted to a significant portion of its workforce. Despite these hurdles, Greggs remains optimistic about its expansion plans, having opened 87 new shops in the first half of the year and aiming for a total of 140 to 150 new openings by the end of the year. However, the company’s stock has seen a decline of over 38% in 2023 amid concerns surrounding its sales growth trajectory.

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The UK’s biggest bakery chain,Greggs, has said last month’s heatwave harmed its sales and profits as customers went off the idea of hot pastries in the unusually high temperatures.

Shares in Greggs slumped almost 13% as investors reacted to the profit warning a day after theUK experienced the hottest day of the yearso far, with temperatures reaching as high as 35C. ​​

The group said that sales at the 2,085 shops it operates directly grew 2.6% in the six months to 28 June. However, “good progress in May [was] followed by slower growth … as high temperatures impacted consumer spending purchasing patterns”.

Greggs said: “Sales in June were impacted as very high temperatures affected the UK, increasing demand for cold drinks but reducing our overall footfall.”

The bakery chain said that total sales in the first half were up 6.9% year on year to £1bn, as it targets opening 140 to 150 new stores this year.

However, Greggs said that the impact of the heatwave to date meant it now expected full-year operating profits to be “modestly below” the level achieved last year.

“Sausage rolls may not be the first thing consumers yearn for when temperatures get into the 30s, and that’s been the case for Greggs,” said Derren Nathan, the head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“While cold drink sales were up in June, when customers flake in the heat, flaky bakes aren’t first choice on the menu and footfall declined for the month. That’s taken the sheen off like-for-like sales, which were up a respectable 2.6% in the first half.”

In May, Greggs reported a pickup in sales after itssuccessful expansioninto iced drinks, pizza boxes and a macaroni cheese that went viral on social media.

The bakery, which is headquartered in Newcastle upon Tyne, said at the time that sales growth was alsobeing boosted by the sunny weather.

However, since then the UK has notched up the second warmest June on record – the warmest ever in England – while the Met Office confirmed that 34.7C was recorded at St James’s Park in central London on Tuesday afternoon.

The chain’s share price is down more than 38% so far this year amid broader concerns around slowing sales growth.

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This year Greggsincreased the price of its sausage rollsby 5p to £1.30, blaming wage, tax and food cost rises. It formed part of an average 4% price rise on key items including coffee and doughnuts.

The company said it had no choice but to pass on the rising cost of its wage bill to consumers after two-thirds of its workers received a 6.1% pay rise in January

Greggs manages 2,085 shops, while 564 are franchised.

The company said that in the first half of this year it opened 87 new shops, while closing 56, and “remained confident” of achieving 140 to 150 net new openings this year.

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Source: The Guardian