‘Extinction crisis’ could see 500 bird species vanish within a century – report

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"Study Warns of Potential Extinction of Over 500 Bird Species in Next Century"

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A recent study has revealed that more than 500 bird species are at risk of extinction within the next century, prompting researchers to advocate for urgent special recovery programs, including captive breeding and habitat restoration. Notable species such as the puffin, European turtle dove, and great bustard are projected to disappear if current trends persist, which could significantly disrupt ecosystems worldwide. According to Kerry Stewart, lead author of the research from the University of Reading, this situation represents an unprecedented bird extinction crisis, with the predicted loss of species being three times higher than the number of birds that went extinct over the past 500 years. The research, published in the journal Nature Ecology and Evolution, analyzed data from nearly 10,000 bird species and employed IUCN data to assess extinction risks, finding that habitat loss, primarily due to agricultural expansion and intensification, is the most critical factor driving these extinctions.

Even in a scenario where habitat destruction, hunting, and climate change cease immediately, approximately 250 species are still projected to face extinction due to their already precarious status. The researchers emphasize that local conservation efforts, while they may seem minimal, are vital for the survival of these threatened species. Stewart notes that many birds are so endangered that simply reducing human impacts will not suffice; they require targeted recovery strategies, such as breeding initiatives and habitat restoration, to ensure their survival. The study highlights successful conservation efforts, including the recovery of the California condor and the bittern in the UK, as evidence that proactive measures can lead to positive outcomes. However, experts such as Stuart Butchart from BirdLife International stress that addressing this extinction crisis will necessitate a comprehensive approach that combines protection of habitats with specific interventions for the most vulnerable species.

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More than 500 bird species could vanish within the next century, researchers have found, calling for urgent “special recovery programmes” such as captive breeding and habitat restoration to rescue unique species.

Birds such as the puffin, European turtle dove and great bustard will be among those to disappear from our skies if trends continue, according to the paper. Their loss threatens to unravel ecosystems across the globe.

“We face a bird extinction crisis unprecedented in modern times,” said Kerry Stewart, lead author of the research from the University of Reading, who described the headline finding of the paper as a “shocking statistic”. It is triple the number of birds that went extinct in the previous 500 years.

The paper, published in the journal Nature Ecology and Evolution,examined data from nearly 10,000 birds (almost all of those known to exist) and used IUCN data to predict extinction risk. Habitat loss – driven mainly by the expansion and intensification of agriculture – emerged as the most significant driver of species extinction.

But even if habitat loss, hunting and climate breakdown stopped today, about 250 species could still die out, as they are already teetering on the brink of extinction. Local conservation efforts may feel small but they are essential to save a species from going extinct, the researchers found. “Many birds are already so threatened that reducing human impacts alone won’t save them. These species need special recovery programmes, like breeding projects and habitat restoration, to survive,” said Stewart.

Conservation success stories show it is possible to bring species back from the brink of extinction.

By 1987, theCalifornia condor – North America’s largest bird – had gone extinctin the wild. There were about 22 birds in captivity, which were then bred and released; now there is a population of350 in the wild.

In the UK, the bittern – a shy-reed-dwelling bird – went extinct as a breeding bird in the 1870s because its wetland habitat had been drained for farming. Now, thanks to habitat restoration, their population is at its highest inmore than 200 years, with more than 280 booming male bitterns recorded last year.

Prof Manuela González-Suárez, senior author of the study at the University of Reading, said: “Stopping threats is not enough. As many as 250-350 species will require complementary conservation measures … to survive the next century.”

The latestState of the World’s Birds reportfound nearly half of the planet’s bird species are in decline. Habitat loss, logging, invasive species, exploitation of natural resources and climate breakdown were highlighted as the main threats.

“There is no magic bullet for solving the extinction crisis,” said Stuart Butchart, chief scientist at BirdLife International, who was not involved in the research. “Protected areas can play a key role, while abating threats from agriculture, logging, fisheries, hunting and other sources is essential. However, some species require targeted recovery efforts, involving interventions like captive breeding and release, translocation, or supplementary feeding, to overcome barriers to recovery.

“This paper adds to a growing body of evidence showing that actions across the whole framework will be necessary to stop human actions from driving species extinct.”

Find moreage of extinction coverage here, and follow the biodiversity reportersPhoebe WestonandPatrick Greenfieldin the Guardian app for more nature coverage

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Source: The Guardian