‘Disastrous’: John Swinney facing SNP backlash after Hamilton byelection loss

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"SNP Leadership Faces Criticism Following Byelection Loss to Scottish Labour"

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TruthLens AI Summary

The Scottish National Party (SNP) is facing significant backlash following a disappointing byelection outcome in Hamilton, Larkhall, and Stonehouse, where they lost a crucial seat to Scottish Labour. Party leader John Swinney is under intense scrutiny from party activists and senior figures who have criticized the campaign as 'disastrous' and 'panicked.' The central issue raised by members is the campaign's messaging, which framed the byelection as a two-horse race between the SNP and Reform UK, a right-wing populist party that has been gaining traction in Scotland. Critics argue that this strategy not only alienated potential SNP voters but also effectively legitimized Reform UK as a serious contender, undermining the SNP's position. The local Labour candidate, Davy Russell, secured an unexpected victory against the Nationalists' Katy Loudon by a margin of 600 votes, with Reform UK's Ross Lambie trailing by 800 votes, highlighting the need for a reassessment of the SNP's electoral approach.

In the wake of this electoral setback, calls for Swinney's resignation have emerged from veteran party members, alongside speculation about potential leadership challenges. While some party insiders acknowledge that the current discontent is less severe compared to the divisions experienced under former leader Nicola Sturgeon, there is an urgent demand for a clearer vision and a renewed focus on independence. Swinney's recent cabinet reshuffle, which elevated Màiri McAllan to a prominent role, aims to address voter priorities ahead of the upcoming Holyrood elections. However, dissatisfaction remains regarding the party's campaign infrastructure and strategy, with calls for modernization and a more effective response to rising living standards and public service issues. As the party prepares for its national executive committee meeting, the emphasis will likely be on establishing a robust plan to regain voter trust and navigate the challenges posed by both Labour and Reform UK in future elections.

TruthLens AI Analysis

The situation described in the article reflects significant turmoil within the Scottish National Party (SNP) following a disappointing byelection outcome. The loss of a key seat to Scottish Labour has triggered backlash against party leader John Swinney, with frustrations expressed by both activists and senior figures. This scenario reveals deeper dynamics at play within the SNP and the political landscape in Scotland.

Frustration Among Party Members

Members of the SNP are openly criticizing their leadership and campaign strategy. The perception of a "disastrous" campaign and allegations of panic have led to a questioning of the party's direction. Swinney's approach has been particularly scrutinized, with calls for him to step down from critics within the party, indicating a significant loss of confidence among party loyalists.

Campaign Strategy Concerns

The focus on the byelection being a two-horse race between the SNP and Reform UK has raised eyebrows. Observers argue that this framing inadvertently legitimized Reform UK as a serious contender, detracting from the SNP’s core message of independence. The failure to effectively promote independence as a counter-narrative to rightwing populism is a major point of contention among party members.

Potential Consequences for Leadership

The growing discontent has sparked speculation about potential leadership challenges within the SNP. While there is some desire for Swinney to have time to reflect on the party’s strategy, members are clear that if he remains obstinate, the mood within the party could shift dramatically. This internal dissent could lead to a leadership crisis, mirroring past divisions experienced under former leader Nicola Sturgeon.

Market and Political Implications

The fallout from this byelection loss may have broader implications for both the SNP and the political landscape in Scotland. A weakened SNP could embolden other parties, particularly Scottish Labour and Reform UK, potentially reshaping electoral dynamics moving forward. This could influence investor sentiment and market perceptions, particularly in sectors closely tied to Scottish politics, such as energy and public services.

Public Perception and Media Narrative

The media narrative surrounding this byelection loss is crucial, as it shapes public perception of the SNP’s viability as a governing party. By highlighting internal discord and leadership challenges, the article serves to reinforce doubts about the SNP's capacity to maintain its political dominance in Scotland.

Conclusion on Trustworthiness

Given the content and context of the article, it can be considered largely reliable, reflecting genuine political developments and sentiments within the SNP. However, the portrayal of internal dissent could be seen as emphasizing negativity, potentially influencing public perception in a specific direction. Overall, the article serves to inform the public about significant political shifts while also illustrating the challenges faced by the SNP.

Unanalyzed Article Content

SNP activists and senior figures have vented their frustrations at their leader, John Swinney, after a “disastrous” byelection campaign that saw the party lose a pivotalHolyrood seat to Scottish Labour.

The party was also accused of running a “panicked” campaign that some believe pushed more voters towards Reform in last Thursday’s Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse byelection.

SNP members are voicing criticisms of the result at branch meetings, with Swinney expected to face robust questioning at the SNP’s national executive committee meeting on Sunday.

Central to members’ concerns was the key campaign message that the byelection was a two-horse race between the SNP andReform UK, which has been gaining ground in Scotland since last year’s general election. That was coupled with the party’s failure to promote independence as an alternative to the rightwing populist party’s divisive rhetoric.

In the event, Scottish Labour’s popular local candidate, Davy Russell, pulled off an unexpected victory, beating the Nationalists’ Katy Loudon by 600 votes, with Reform UK’s Ross Lambie 800 votes behind her.

Since last Thursday’s result, Swinney has faced calls to resign from veteran SNP critics as well as feverish speculation about plots among senior party figures to oust him.

The former SNP MP Tommy Sheppard, writing in the National earlier this week, branded the strategy a “disaster”.

“The message to anyone flirting with Reform UK is that they are a serious contender, best placed to upset the SNP. We make their argument for them.”

One experienced campaigner said: “People think the party got it wrong this time.” They argued, however, that members remained willing to give Swinney initial time to reflect, before adding “if he digs his heels in around strategy and doesn’t listen, it will be a very different mood”.

Others pointed out that, compared with the “off-the-scale” internal divisions experienced by the party towards the end of Nicola Sturgeon’s leadership and under her successor, Humza Yousaf, current discontent is relatively minimal.

In a modest reshuffle on Wednesday morning, Swinney created an elevated role as cabinet secretary for housing for the rising star Màiri McAllan as she returned from maternity leave, signalling a renewed focus on voter priorities ahead of next May’s Holyrood elections.

The Guardian understands that Swinney faced criticism of the Hamilton strategy at a “fractious” MSP group meeting on Tuesday. There he repeated his insistence that the Reform-focused strategy was led by what canvassers were hearing on the doorstep.

But one senior backbencher suggested that Swinney had “panicked” at the growing support for Reform – who secured 26% of the vote last week – especially after their strong showing in the English council elections, which took place just as the Hamilton campaign was gaining momentum.

“He talked about Reform too much and not enough about Katy. We didn’t give people a reason to vote for us.”

At this Sunday’s meeting of senior party officials, insiders expect “a demand for a clearer vision, focused on independence”.

Stewart McDonald, the influential former SNP MP, praised Swinney’s leadership as having broought calm after “an incredibly turbulent few years”, but said he urgently needed to give party and government “a renewed sense of purpose”.

“The party’s campaign infrastructure is dated, tired, analogue and it needs to be modernised. Labour outgunned us on the ground in Hamilton and we cannot let that happen in 2026. For the government, people need to start seeing tangible improvements in their living standards and in public services. He has started that process but now needs to put it on steroids. This is the most effective way to ensure we win next year and answer many of the grievances that are driving so many people to Reform: a laserlike focus on makingScotlandbetter”.

Another former MP said Swinney had to pivot fast: “It’s either that or lose the next election. The party failed to act after Rutherglen [another bellweather byelection defeat, in 2023] and the MPs lost. We can’t afford to lose the Scottish government so this is the last-chance saloon.”

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Source: The Guardian