Asda unlikely to see growth before year end at earliest, says supermarket boss

TruthLens AI Suggested Headline:

"Asda Chair Predicts No Growth Until Late 2023 Amid Sales Decline"

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TruthLens AI Summary

Asda, the UK's third-largest supermarket, is facing significant challenges, with sales declining and growth unlikely until at least the end of the year, according to Allan Leighton, the supermarket's chair. In the four months leading up to the end of April, Asda's underlying sales fell by 3.1% compared to the same period last year, even as food inflation has benefited its competitors. Despite the downturn, Leighton noted that the rate of decline had slowed, indicating potential recovery. The supermarket has undergone a transformation since its £6.8 billion buyout by the Issa brothers and TDR Capital in 2021, investing over £800 million to modernize its operations and lower prices on essential items. Asda's total sales dropped nearly 6% to £5 billion in this timeframe, prompting Leighton to emphasize the need for a long-term strategy rather than quick fixes through promotions.

Looking towards the future, Leighton expressed optimism about Asda's potential to return to growth, citing a 3.5% increase in sales of its George clothing range and improved performance in petrol and convenience store sales. However, the supermarket has lost market share to both traditional competitors like Tesco and Sainsbury's, as well as discount chains such as Aldi and Lidl, which are rapidly expanding. Aldi is now close to overtaking Asda in market share, having announced plans to open 40 new stores this year. In response, Asda plans to simplify its pricing strategy by reintroducing the 'Asda Price' label. Leighton believes that Asda's unique offerings, particularly in clothing, will help differentiate it from competitors and ultimately lead to a turnaround, which he estimates could take up to five years to achieve.

TruthLens AI Analysis

The article highlights the challenges faced by Asda, a major UK supermarket chain, as it struggles to maintain sales amidst increasing competition from rivals like Aldi. Allan Leighton, the supermarket's chair, indicates that the company may not see growth until the end of the year at the earliest, despite efforts to cut prices and improve stock availability. This scenario paints a picture of a struggling retailer trying to navigate a competitive landscape while dealing with the aftermath of a significant buyout.

Market Positioning and Competitive Pressure

Asda's ongoing sales decline of 3.1% in the last four months, despite higher food prices benefiting competitors, suggests a loss of market confidence. With Aldi poised for expansion, the competitive gap is closing, which may further exacerbate Asda's struggles. This competitive pressure influences public perception, potentially painting Aldi as a more attractive option for consumers looking for value.

Strategic Adjustments

Leighton’s comments about “green shoots” indicate a cautious optimism, though the company is still significantly down from previous performance levels. Asda's attempts to modernize, including a substantial investment in IT systems, reflect a long-term strategy rather than quick fixes. By focusing on creating “something enduring” over the next few years, Asda seems to be preparing its stakeholders for a gradual recovery rather than immediate results.

Public Perception and Trust

The framing of Asda's situation could lead to mixed public perceptions. While some may see the investments and strategic changes as positive steps, others may interpret the ongoing decline and delay in growth as a sign of deeper issues within the company. The language used by Leighton could also be seen as an attempt to reassure investors and customers alike, which may raise questions about transparency and the true health of the business.

Potential Impact on the Economy and Society

The news could affect consumer behavior, as shoppers might shift their loyalty to competitors like Aldi if they perceive Asda as struggling. This shift in consumer sentiment can have broader implications for the grocery sector, potentially leading to changes in market dynamics and pricing strategies. The announcement of Aldi’s expansion plans could further fuel this shift, impacting employment and local economies.

Target Audience and Community Response

The article seems to cater to investors, industry analysts, and consumers who are interested in the grocery market's landscape. By providing insights into Asda's challenges and strategic plans, the news aims to engage stakeholders who have a vested interest in the supermarket's future.

Market Reactions and Stock Implications

This news is significant for stakeholders in the grocery sector, particularly those holding shares in Asda or its competitors. Investors might react by reassessing their positions based on the perceived stability and growth potential of these companies. The focus on strategic long-term planning rather than immediate sales growth may also influence market sentiment.

Global Context and Relevance

In terms of global dynamics, the UK grocery market is a microcosm of broader economic trends, including inflation and consumer spending patterns. Asda's struggles reflect challenges faced by many retailers worldwide in adapting to changing consumer preferences and economic pressures.

The article does not appear to have been generated by AI, as its content and analysis reflect a nuanced understanding of the situation, which is characteristic of human reporting. However, there could be elements where AI tools might assist in data analysis or trend recognition.

Given the challenges highlighted and the strategic responses mentioned, the reliability of the article rests on its alignment with industry trends and the credibility of the sources involved. The portrayal of Asda's situation is grounded in factual reporting, but the optimistic framing of "green shoots" may selectively highlight progress while downplaying ongoing difficulties.

Unanalyzed Article Content

Asda is unlikely to see growth before the end of this year at the earliest, the supermarket’s chair, Allan Leighton, has said, as sales continue to fall despite price cuts and more stock on its shelves.

Meanwhile, Aldi, which is closing the market share gap with Asda, put further pressure on its rival by announcing significant expansion plans across the UK.

Underlying sales at Asda fell 3.1% in the four months to the end of April compared with the same period a year before – despite on-going food inflation which has helped all other rivals grow.

However, Leighton said Asda, which has been struggling sincea £6.8bn buyoutby Blackburn brothers Mohsin and Zuber Issa and the private equity firm TDR Capital in 2021, was seeing “green shoots” as the pace of decline had eased from the previous quarter. “We have made real progress but there is a long way to go,” he said.

Total sales fell nearly 6% to £5bn in the period after the UK’s third largest supermarket invested millions of pounds in keeping down the price of key items and updating its IT systems as part of an £800m-plus handover from systems run by its former owner Walmart.

“We are still down and we have to get up,” Leighton said. “We could price up and do promotions to get the sales line up, but this is a three- to five-year plan and we are creating something enduring.”

The veteran retailer, whoreturned to Asda in Novemberlast year after a two-decade gap, said he remained confident the company could return to growth.

He said sales of the group’s George clothing ranges were outperforming the wider market, and were up 3.5% in established stores. Petrol forecourt and convenience store sales were also up after fuel prices sharpened.

Afterditching a price-matching schemewith Aldi and Lidl this year, the group plans to return to offering everyday low prices under the banner Asda Price by the end of next year rather than a plethora of cut-price offers.

“The plan is, towards the end of the year, to return to top-line growth and get more units in people’s baskets, up the price gap [with rivals] and improve availability,” Leighton said.

The former Co-op Group and Royal Mail boss said Asda was now between 3% and 5% cheaper than its mainstream rivals on average, although still dearer than the fast-growing Aldi and Lidl.

His pledge toinvest in cutting priceswiped £4bn off the value of its main listed rivals in March. He said on Thursday that the group had already reduced the price of 10,000 products and was “inflating behind the rest of the market by about 2%”.

However, Asda has been losing share to both its bigger traditional rivals – Tesco and Sainsbury’s – and the discounters, which are rapidly opening stores and gaining new shoppers searching for bargains amid on-going pressure on household bills.

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Aldi is now within one percentage point of overtaking Asda to become the UK’s third biggest supermarket, according to analysts at Kantar, and is already there on some narrower measures.

On Thursday, Aldi, which Kantar says increased sales by 6.7% in the three months to 18 May, unveiled plans for 40 more stores this year. The German-owned retailer expects to open a similar number in each of the next two years.

Giles Hurley, the boss of Aldi in the UK, said the business was committed to remaining the cheapest whatever its rivals did. “The price gap with the competition is as big as ever,” he said.

Leighton said Asda could fight back as it was a “very different proposition” to both the discounters and mainstream supermarkets – with George clothing a key part of the plan.

“George is going to be the number one brand by volume in clothing in the next three years,” he said.

Leighton has said it could take five years toturn around the supermarket group, which is now controlled by TDR after itbought out Zuber Issalast year, while his brother, Mohsin, stepped back from effectively running the retailer but retains a 22.5% stake.

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Source: The Guardian